Atlantic Hurricane Season 2023 Outlook

Predictions from NOAA and Regional Forecasters

NOAA's Outlook

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center predicts a near-normal or average 2023 hurricane season. The outlook suggests a 40% chance of a near-normal season, a 30% chance of an above-normal season, and a 30% chance of a below-normal season.

Record-Warm Sea Surface Temperatures

This outlook is based on current ocean and atmospheric conditions, including record-warm sea surface temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean. These warm temperatures provide favorable conditions for hurricane formation and intensification.

Regional Predictions

Regional forecasters in Jamaica anticipate 17 named storms during the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, seven of which are likely to become hurricanes. This prediction suggests an above-average season based on NOAA's historical norms.

2023 Season Review

The 2023 Atlantic hurricane season was an above-normal season, with a total of 20 named storms and 10 hurricanes. This season was named Above Average by NOAA featuring named storms and named storm days significantly above the average.

Conclusion

While NOAA's outlook predicts a near-normal 2023 hurricane season, regional forecasters anticipate above-average activity. It is crucial for residents in hurricane-prone areas to remain prepared and follow safety guidelines throughout the season, which typically runs from June 1 to November 30.

Loop Cayman Loop News

Mona Geoinformatics Institute